Medición de la opinión ciudadana sobre precandidatos. Elecciones intermedias y presidenciales en el Distrito Federal

Abstract

The main objective of this paper is to analyze how the ordinary citizen –represented by five samples obtained throughout 2008, 2009 and early 2010– evaluates the administrative and management skills from a list of 12 politicians of the time, this with the support of the quantitative statistical method and grounded theory for the qualitative or grounded. The results focus on analyzing the assessments according to political affiliation, who move about the future process, such as the current president of the Mexican Republic or the former President Salinas, from the results of the five political surveys in the Distrito Federal, conducted by the Cabinet Sample Survey (GEM) of the Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana-Xochimilco. Some of the conclusions of this paper are summarized on the citizens’ distrust and the effect of campaigns that are unofficially being launched now.